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Message no. 1
From: "J.D. Falk" <jdfalk@****.CAIS.COM>
Subject: Year 2020 (fwd)
Date: Wed, 28 Sep 1994 22:46:25 -0400
This may be of interest to some of you; I personally think it
orta be fascinating. -J.D.

---------- Forwarded message ----------
Date: Tue, 27 Sep 1994 12:07:31 -0700
From: email list server <listserv@*********.COM>
To: cpsr-announce@*********.COM
Subject: Year 2020

Date: Mon, 26 Sep 1994 08:00:02 -0700 (PDT)
From: 2020 World <year2020@********.com>
Subject: An Invitation to Hear Your Opinion!
To: cpsr-annmtg@****.org
Message-Id: <Pine.3.89.9409260726.A7827-0100000@********>
Mime-Version: 1.0
Content-Type: TEXT/PLAIN; charset=US-ASCII
Status: RO


The year 2020, what will it be like? By then, the big version of what we
call the info-highway will have been with us for some time. Society will
have undergone major adjustments, earthquake-sized shifts. Today's
journalism about the info-highway misses the point. What difference does
it make if it's coax or fiber, PC or set-top box, TCI or AT&T. What
matters is how it will change our world.

Our world will change dramatically. How? Where? What? Today, if you
are curious about this stuff, you have two choices; read the Time
magazine-type "general interest" feature written by someone who hasn't got
a clue, or read the Wired magazine-type "top ten" Industry-leaders/
futurists (you know who they are!) lecture us on their particular vested
interest. Either way, the real changes are not being discussed. Let's
change that.

I want to invite you to participate in a global group exploration of life
in the year 2020. Let me introduce myself and then explain. My name is
Kurt Dahl and I am currently the Vice President of Information Technology
at The Seattle Times (Seattle's major metro newspaper). I am writing a
new weekly column that will be published in the Sunday Seattle Times
Personal Technology section.

The column is called 2020world. The idea of 2020world is to explore how
our lives will change when the information highway is a familiar and
integral part of our society. The column will *NOT* be about technology,
that's why I picked the year 2020, by then we can all agree that a
broadband, fully switched, ubiquitous network will have been in place for
many years. How that network will change our lives, not how it will work,
is the question 2020world will address.

So now you are thinking -- I really don't need to read more simple-minded
drivel about the information highway. I agree, you don't, and won't.
2020world will explore ideas that are far outside the typical, boring
discussions of home-shopping and video-on-demand. Yet it will be written
for the general reader. Let me show you how. I have included the first
column from September 25th, as an example. Please read it, then you will
get the idea.

Here is where you come in, and this is the most impo~
To join in, simply reply (as shown below) and you will automatically be
enrolled as a subscriber to our mailing list. Each week the new 2020world
column will be e-mailed to you as well as the best and most exciting
comments and responses. If you want to respond, simply send an e-mail to
our address (also included below). Any questions, send me an e-mail or
call.

But first, read the inaugural column! Here goes...

Copyright 1994 Seattle Times Company

2020world column title: Emily is illiterate

The information superhighway -- aren't you tired of reading about it?
And it doesn't even exist! But it will. And after it's built, we will
live in a very different world.

How different and in what ways? What you have read in the press so far
is a lot of trivial chatter about "home shopping" and movies-on-demand"
combined with boring technical details. These stories just don't come
close to capturing the profound changes we will experience. To better
understand where we are going we need a new approach, fresh ideas.
That's what this column will try to do.

Let's discover this new world together. Let's use one of the most
intriguing new capabilities of the information superhighway: the concept
of group-mind. Here's how: I'll start with an original, sometimes
outrageous, thought about life in the year 2020, and you send me your
reaction to that idea. I'll organize the most thoughtful, expansive and
mind-stretching responses, and we will print them.

Your thoughts and questions can lead us in new directions. Over time we
will follow these "group-mind" wanderings whichever way they go. If we
succeed, 2020world will be as much your space as mine.

It's the year 2020, your daughter Emily is 9 years old, and she
can't read or write. Is this your worst nightmare about our schools
come true? Nope, Emily just doesn't need to read or write anymore.

The written word is a means to an end and not an end in itself. We use
it to communicate with large groups and to preserve ideas, but we prefer
the spoken word. In 2020world, with the ability to create, store and
send audio and video as easily as written words, why would we need to
read and write?

Look inside your own head. Do you store information as written words?
Do you dream in written words? No, you don't. Visual images and spoken
languages are our natural form of information. Writing is nothing more
than a technology. It can be replaced by something better. In fact,
some forms of the written word are being replaced right now, like
shorthand. Can you think of other dead technologies?

I'll bet you are now in the "but what about..." stage:

But what about education? Video can do anything books can do;
well-produced video can do many things better. Which is the better way
to learn about the Civil War -- reading a text for 10 hours or watching
10 hours of Ken Burns' PBS production on the Civil War?

But what about the law? Don't we need the precision implied by written
rules? Perhaps, but wouldn't videos of the original trials, legislative
debates, rulings and precedents be a better guide to future generations
than law books?

Send me your own "but what abouts." But make sure to include your
thoughts about how the 2020world would deal with those situations, too.

Does Emily really need to read and write in 2020world? I don't think
so. Do you?

**************************************************************
* *
* Kurt Dahl is vice president of information technology at *
* The Seattle Times. The views he expresses here are not *
* necessarily those of The Seattle Times Company. *
* *
**************************************************************

SUBSCRIPTION INSTRUCTIONS:

2020world is currently an unmoderated list, however, there are plans to
implement the DIGEST option. All mail sent to this list will be sent to
all other subscribers.

To subscribe, mail to:

majordomo@********.com
and, include in body of text: subscribe 2020world

If you choose not to subscribe, but would like to e-mail me directly with
your comments, my address is:

year2020@********.com

or, call me at:

206-464-3339

or, FAX me at:

206-382-8898

Thanks for taking the time to read this loonnggg e-mail. Please join in
and help us understand the real nature of our world after the information
highway is built. Send your subscription e-mail right now! I'm looking
forward to adding your thoughts to our discussion.

One last request, please forward this invitation to those who you think
would be interested.

Thanks!

Kurt Dahl




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Message no. 2
From: Luke Kendall <luke@********.CANON.OZ.AU>
Subject: Re: Year 2020 (fwd)
Date: Thu, 29 Sep 1994 13:45:30 +1000
Dear Kurt Dahl:

I have just read your looong email (forwarded to me via an
electronic mailing list), and the article `Emily is illiterate'.

I strongly recommend that you obtain a copy of the book:
`Cyberspace: first steps', edited by Michael Benedikt
(ISBN 0-262-52177-6), MIT press 1991. At least the paper
within it on `The Corporate Virtual Workspace'. The book will
give you a great deal of useful information and a bountiful
supply of material which could be adapted for many articles.

I'm afraid that you certainly need to think a great deal more
about what you have written. Especially if the Emily article
is really representative.

It seems to me that you fail to appreciate that symbols are a
shorthand, that make the concepts behind them easy to manipulate
and think about.

Take the symbols of mathematics as an example. How would you learn
or reason about mathematics without the necessary symbols, and the
operations that manipulate them?

Hopefully you can see that a video representation will not help;
the best it could do is show you someone lecturing and drawing
on a board. Animations may be useful for examples; but they're
far too bulky and unwieldy to actually reason with. Because they
are *not* a shorthand.

Words are symbols too, and can be used in a similar way. I find
it absolutely remarkable that, judging by your article, you fail
to grasp this.

Would you have people do away with diagrams? Or are you suggesting
that just the labels that can be attached to them could be dispensed
with? Words are a shorthand for concepts. Would you replace this
quickly-perceived and easily-manipulated symbol by a slower-perceived
overly-detailed awkwardly-manipulated video sequence?

What about the fact that one can comfortably read twice as fast as
a person can speak? And speed readers are far faster than that.

What about the fact that you can _sort_ words, so that you can
index a written text? Have you ever tried to form the equivalent
for a large set of static images? It's a remarkably difficult
problem. And time-sequences of images then add a further level of
difficulty.

> I'm looking forward to adding your thoughts to our discussion.

Well, those are my initial reactions, I'm afraid.

luke

---
Luke Kendall, Senior Software Engineer. | Net: luke@********.canon.oz.au
Canon Information Systems Research Australia | Phone: +61 2 805 2982
P.O. Box 313 North Ryde, NSW, Australia 2113 | Fax: +61 2 805 2929
Message no. 3
From: "J.D. Falk" <jdfalk@****.CAIS.COM>
Subject: Re: Year 2020 (fwd)
Date: Thu, 29 Sep 1994 00:46:36 -0400
On Thu, 29 Sep 1994, Luke Kendall wrote:

> Dear Kurt Dahl:
>
> I have just read your looong email (forwarded to me via an
> electronic mailing list), and the article `Emily is illiterate'.

Ahem! Luke, I thought you knew better...*grin*
Message no. 4
From: Luke Kendall <luke@********.CANON.OZ.AU>
Subject: Re: Year 2020 (fwd)
Date: Thu, 29 Sep 1994 15:03:38 +1000
J.D. Falk writes:

> > Dear Kurt Dahl:
> >
> > I have just read your looong email (forwarded to me via an
> > electronic mailing list), and the article `Emily is illiterate'.
>

> Ahem! Luke, I thought you knew better...*grin*

You bastard!

:-)

I _did_ wonder.
D'oh.

luke

Further Reading

If you enjoyed reading about Year 2020, you may also be interested in:

Disclaimer

These messages were posted a long time ago on a mailing list far, far away. The copyright to their contents probably lies with the original authors of the individual messages, but since they were published in an electronic forum that anyone could subscribe to, and the logs were available to subscribers and most likely non-subscribers as well, it's felt that re-publishing them here is a kind of public service.